Comments for Prosperity for Rhode Island http://prosperityforri.org Prosperity for Rhode Island Tue, 07 Sep 2010 15:41:36 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 Comment on Boogie Boarding and explaining the climate wave by Anonymous http://prosperityforri.org/?p=83#comment-282 Anonymous Sat, 04 Sep 2010 00:52:17 +0000 http://prosperityforri.org/?p=83#comment-282 I was asked to post this. greg From: "Jim Kelley" <jim-kelley2@cox.net> Date: Sat, 4 Sep 2010 00:19:10 +0000 To: Greg Gerritt<gerritt@mindspring.com> ReplyTo: jim-kelley2@cox.net Subject: Re: Boogie Boarding and catching the climate wave Greg,My opinion about mankind's relative impact and the trend of climate change has varied like the wind depending on what I read. I am a sailor (raced my Pearson 26 on Mt. Hope Bay for many years) and have come to the conclusion that the skipper makes the most progress when he adapts to the change using all tools available; you can't fight the waves and wind you have to work with them as they are now and as you think they will be (based on much science and art).To directly respond to your question(s), consider this (from a person who has studied and used statistical models):What you are describing is the attempt to construct a mathematical model which will predict future scenarios based upon various data points. In fact the clear science you mention about carbon dioxide and methane is based on statistical modeling. If the addition of just those two compounds to the atmosphere (at what rate over what time, etc.) Causes the Earth to heat up, are all other variables held constant? Look at the statistical modeling that was used for Earl (and all other daily weather forecasts). Are we really able to predict the effect (and its cause) of any one variable on the climate in 20 years when we can't build a mathematical model to predict accurately a storm in a short time horizon?I think about the possibility of global cooling sometimes if the gulf stream changes. Can we model that and assign any certainty to a cause of change. Essentially for me it boils down to the scientific method. If a hypothesis can be proven through independent repeatable experiments/ validations, then it is a proven theory. Remember, statistical modeling is used in my field (banking) and look how well that has turned out. Jim Kelley I was asked to post this. greg
From: “Jim Kelley”
Date: Sat, 4 Sep 2010 00:19:10 +0000
To: Greg Gerritt
ReplyTo: jim-kelley2@cox.net
Subject: Re: Boogie Boarding and catching the climate wave
Greg,My opinion about mankind’s relative impact and the trend of climate change has varied like the wind depending on what I read. I am a sailor (raced my Pearson 26 on Mt. Hope Bay for many years) and have come to the conclusion that the skipper makes the most progress when he adapts to the change using all tools available; you can’t fight the waves and wind you have to work with them as they are now and as you think they will be (based on much science and art).To directly respond to your question(s), consider this (from a person who has studied and used statistical models):What you are describing is the attempt to construct a mathematical model which will predict future scenarios based upon various data points. In fact the clear science you mention about carbon dioxide and methane is based on statistical modeling. If the addition of just those two compounds to the atmosphere (at what rate over what time, etc.) Causes the Earth to heat up, are all other variables held constant? Look at the statistical modeling that was used for Earl (and all other daily weather forecasts). Are we really able to predict the effect (and its cause) of any one variable on the climate in 20 years when we can’t build a mathematical model to predict accurately a storm in a short time horizon?I think about the possibility of global cooling sometimes if the gulf stream changes. Can we model that and assign any certainty to a cause of change. Essentially for me it boils down to the scientific method. If a hypothesis can be proven through independent repeatable experiments/ validations, then it is a proven theory. Remember, statistical modeling is used in my field (banking) and look how well that has turned out.

Jim Kelley

]]> Comment on For the 1/8/10 state senate hearing by Oil Crash http://prosperityforri.org/?p=59#comment-230 Oil Crash Sun, 13 Jun 2010 03:24:03 +0000 http://prosperityforri.org/?p=59#comment-230 I believe that peak oil is true and that we are now past the point of peak oil. I think many of the current events have to do with this downturn and it won't be long before the main stream media and population wake up and understand what is going on. For me and my family, we are preparing for the next era. I believe that peak oil is true and that we are now past the point of peak oil. I think many of the current events have to do with this downturn and it won’t be long before the main stream media and population wake up and understand what is going on. For me and my family, we are preparing for the next era.

]]> Comment on Compost files 3/8/10 by dorothy bocian http://prosperityforri.org/?p=66#comment-190 dorothy bocian Mon, 29 Mar 2010 17:58:15 +0000 http://prosperityforri.org/?p=66#comment-190 Hi Greg, Very interested in the composting work you are doing for RI. A hearty thank you for your efforts!!! I am president of the Sandywoods Farm, Inc. a new affordable housing development in Tiverton centered on the arts and agriculture. We are seriously considering some kind of composting program/source that would help bring our agricultural land up to snuff, i.e. we are interested in forming a community garden or perhaps a CSA. Would love to talk. You can reach me at my email or by phone 846-5114. Your work is very important!! And I am a huge compost afficianado. Hi Greg,

Very interested in the composting work you are doing for RI. A hearty thank you for your efforts!!! I am president of the Sandywoods Farm, Inc. a new affordable housing development in Tiverton centered on the arts and agriculture. We are seriously considering some kind of composting program/source that would help bring our agricultural land up to snuff, i.e. we are interested in forming a community garden or perhaps a CSA. Would love to talk. You can reach me at my email or by phone 846-5114. Your work is very important!! And I am a huge compost afficianado.

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